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الرئيسية » مدونات الشرق » السفير عبدالله الأشعل » السفير عبدالله الأشعل يكتب: ترشيد خيارات مصر تجاه إسرائيل؟

السفير عبدالله الأشعل يكتب: ترشيد خيارات مصر تجاه إسرائيل؟

كانت إسرائيل ولاتزال العامل الأساسى فى تشكيل النظام السياسى فى مصر وتشكيل علاقاتها الخارجية الرئيسية. الاشكالية التي تناقشها هذه المقالة هي الاهمية المركزية لاسرائيل في نظام مصر وعلاقاتها الدولية الاساسية.

تريد اسرائيل تحجيم مصر وخلق المشاكل لها ومصر بحاجة الي الديمقراطية وحكم الشعب وممارسة دورها العربي وكلها محظورات عند اسرائيل ، فكيف عالجت مصر المسالة الاسرائيلية في النظم السابقة وما هي الصيغة التي تسمح لمصر بتحقيق الأهداف السابقة؟.

هناك حقائق لاسبيل إلى تجاهلها وهى خمسة فى صدد موقف مصر من إسرائيل.

الحقيقة الأولى هى أن مصر تثق تماما بأن إسرائيل مشروع استعمارى استيطانى وعندما قمت بدراسة مدى توفر هذه الحقيقة التاريخية العلمية عند كل رؤساء مصر العسكريين وجدت أنه لم يشذ منهم أحد. فقد آمن بذلك محمد نجيب وجمال عبدالناصر وأنور السادات وحسنى مبارك ولا أظن أن للسيسى رأيا آخر. كما أن هذا المشروع يستهدف مصر فى المقام الأول وأنه فى خدمة الغرب بما فيه الولايات المتحدة التى تقدمت الساحة بعد تراجع بريطانيا على المسرح الدولى، منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية.

الحقيقة الثانية، هى أن إسرائيل هى التى تحرشت بمصر فى كل الحروب ، وأن مصر كان بوسعها وحدها أن تمنع العصابات الصهيونية من إقامة إسرائيل على الأرض عام 1948 لولا الانقسام العربى والمؤامرة والعمالة والاحتلال وظروف مصر الداخلية. كما تدرك إسرائيل قوة الجيش المصري وعقيدته، مثلما تخشى الديمقراطية فى مصر، ولذلك تعمد إلى إرهاق الجيش فى سيناء فى حرب الإرهاب التى لا شك عندى أن لإسرائيل يدا فيها وهى التى تحرض بمناسبة هذا الملف على حماس، وأنها صرحت بأن القضاء على الإخوان يمثل ظرفا مثاليا لها، كما سعدت أشد السعادة بانتكاسة الديمقراطية بعد انزعاجها  من ثورة 25 يناير.

فمصر الدولة والجيش والنظام الديمقراطى والدور المصرى فى  العالم العربى كلها مع التواصل المصرى الفلسطينى من أهم المحظورات عند إسرائيل. ولا يحتاج المراقب المبتدئ إلى عبقرية لكى يدرك أن إسرائيل تعمل على هذه الساحات الخمس بضمان أمريكى حتى تظل مصر مهددة بإرهاب يستنزف طاقتها ويرهق جيشها ويلهيها عن التطور والنمو، وأن تظل فى أوضاع اجتماعية واقتصادية تقعدها عن ممارسة دورها العربى أو التواصل مع الشعب الفلسطينى، ومع لبنان والأردن وسوريا فى إطار التكامل العربى وهو أشد ما أفزع إسرائيل من دعوة عبد الناصر، فسعت إلى إسقاطه مع مشروعه بضربة نجلاء لم تقتصر على الجانب العسكرى وحده.

الحقيقة الثالثة، هى أن كل رؤساء مصر حاولوا التوصل إلى سياسة ناجحة مع إسرائيل توفر لمصر الأمن وتجنبها الصدامات، بحيث توجه موارد الحرب إلى التنمية فى ظل السلام. وللأسف فشل كل الرؤساء فى ذلك. فعبدالناصر آمن بأن المشروع الصهيونى هو الذى يعيق مصر عن أى تقدم،وهذه معضلة مزمنة ، وهى الفكرة التى آمنت بها مصر الملكية منذ حذر النقراشى باشا أمام مجلس الأمن من هذا “السرطان” الذى انقض على مصر والعالم العربى. ولكن عبدالناصر لم يدرج موقفه وسياسته تجاه إسرائيل فى المبادئ الستة لحركة يوليو التى أعلنها وربما ظن أن هناك فرقا بين التصور النظرى البشع للمشروع الصهيونى وبين بشاعة تحرك المشروع على الأرض. ولكن لابد أن عبدالناصر قد فهم تماما أن دعوته إلى استقلال القرار المصرى وتأميم القناة والدعوة إلى القومية العربية رسالة لإسرائيل بأن تعاجل بالتركيز على عبدالناصر قبل أن يبنى الجيش، وبالفعل كان الهجوم على القوة المصرية فى غزة محرجا ، دفع عبدالناصر إلى طلب السلاح من أمريكا، ثم روسيا ثم صار أميل للمعسكر الشيوعى، فصار هدفا للولايات المتحدة. وهكذا نجحت إسرائيل فى التخطيط للايقاع بعبد الناصر من نقاط ضعفه، كما أوضح شارون في مذكراته.

كان رأى عبدالناصر فى تسوية المشكلة هو رحيل اليهود من فلسطين ويعودون إلى حيث جاءوا ويستقر الفلسطينيون فى وطنهم، وهو موقف مثالى أخلاقى فتقطع الصلة بالسياسة التى تهتم بالسؤال: كيف؟ فكان الصدام والعدوان والمؤامرة من جانب إسرائيل. أما السادات، فقد أراح نفسه وانتهى إلى منهج تبسيطى لا يقل بؤسا عن منهج عبد الناصر، فكلاهما مدرك للمشكلة ولكنه لجأ إلى التبسيط.

كان نداء القومية العربية يعنى احتواء فلسطين فى الجسد العربى الذى يلفظ العامل الغريب السرطانى. أما منهج السادات فقد مكن السرطان من هذا الجسد فبدأ بالجزء المصرى من هذا الجسد فيما أكده باعتزاز مدير المخابرات الحربية الإسرائيلى الأسبق عاموس يادلين من أن الموساد تمكن من اختراق جميع مفاصل الدولة المصرية من خلال فهم مصر للسلام، فقد فهمت السلام علي أنه خروج مصر من التصدي للمشروع الصهيوني واطلاق يد اسرائيل لكي تفرض السلام الاسرائيلي Pax Israeliana .ذلك أن الخلل فى منهج المواجهة ومنهج التسليم هو أن زعامات مصر قد تعاملت مع مصر وإسرائيل على انها دول عادية على خلاف الحقيقة. فمصر مجالها ومصدر قوتها هو أسرتها العربية التى وحدتها المواجهة وفرقها التسليم ، فكانت مصر فى كل الأحوال هى الخاسر الأكبر بعد فلسطين.

الحقيقة الرابعة، هى أن مصر العاجزة عن الوقوف على قدميها وعن صيانة وسطها العربى للقيام بدور فيه هى الفريسة المثالية لإسرائيل وهو ما أكده نتانياهو فى تصريح علنى خلال الأسبوع الثانى من يوليو 2015.

وكان استبداد مبارك وتقاربه المبالغ فيه مع إسرائيل جعل مصر سندا للمشروع الصهيونى بعد أن كانت سدا منيعا فى وجهه، فسهلت مصر اختراق إسرائيل فى إطار التقارب المصرى الإسرائيلى والصبر الاستراتيجى الأمريكى الذى عبر عنه أوباما خلال زيارته فى شهر مايو 2015 لإيباك اليهودية فى نيويورك. أدى استبداد مبارك أيضا إلى توغل إسرائيل فى الأحشاء المصرية، فضلا عن أن ذلك البعد لإسرائيل كان ولاشك له أثر فى تراجع مصر فى الداخل والخارج حتى أكد بنيامين بن اليعازر بأن مبارك هو كنز إسرائيل الاستراتيجى، وبهذه المثابة اكتسب نظامه حصانة وتحالفات إقليمية قوية ظن أنها تعصمه من ثورة شعبية، فلما وقعت فى 25 يناير 2011 أصابت إسرائيل بالصرع حتى هدأ روعها منذ 30 يونيو 2013 وزوال الإخوان، ولم يكن وجود الإخوان هو المفزع لها، ولكن الخوف من تطور الثورة الشعبية إلى حكم ديمقراطى لن تحتمله إسرائيل. وهكذا صارت المعادلة واضحة وهى أن مصر بحاجة إلى أن تميز بين السلام الذى يعنى تسوية المشاكل لكن يفتح باب التنافس والتدافع، بحيث لا تسلم مصر ضمن فهمها للسلام بأن تخرج من الساحة العربية، وتغمض العيون عن مواطن إضرار إسرائيل بها.

وهذا المنهج يحتاج إلى عقليات مختلفة تماما وإرادة تستبطن الواقع، وهو أن مصر المزدهرة ذات الدور العربى ، المستقرة داخليا لا يمكن تصورها مع سعى إسرائيل إلى إضعاف مصر وإرغامها على الاتفاق على التخلى عن دورها كجزء من هذا السلام الغريب.

وقد حذر البعض في بداية التقارب مع إسرائيل وفى مقدمتهم د. عادل غنيم فى تقديمه لترجمة كتاب الدولة اليهودية لمؤلفه تيودور هرتزل الذى أرجو أن يتدبره شباب اليوم ويتعرفوا على أبجديات الصراع مع هذا السرطان. فقد أكد د. عادل غنيم (ص52 من الطبعة الثانية من الترجمة) بأن السلام مع إسرائيل أخطر من الحرب لأن المطلوب هو المحافظة على هويتنا ومقومات نهضتنا ووعينا وحذرنا حتى لانهزم فى السلام كما هزمنا فى الحرب.

 

وأخيرا، الصراع مراحل وميادين وصور، وإذا كنا حتى الآن قد هزمنا فى الميدانين، رغم الحكم العسكرى، فالمقطوع به هو أنه أحد أهم أسباب الهزيمة وإعاقة نشأة مجتمع مدنى ديمقراطى يهزم المشروع  الصهيوني بأدوات حضارية. ثورة يناير هى المقدمة وعلى الأجيال القادمة متابعتها وليس اليأس من تباطؤ ثمارها.

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